I hereby promulgate JPW’s Law of Economics: That which is “unexpected” is usually pretty darn “obvious.” It is only “unexpected” to those who strain to deny reality. It is “obvious” to those who live entrained in the current prevailing state of reality and have chosen to accept that reality for what it is.
In order to better comprehend JPW’s Iron Law of Economics here, let us define our terms. “Unexpected” describes any state or condition where Team Lefty winds up experiencing an economic result that is at odds with what they want or what their ideology orders them to believe would occur. “Obvious” is pretty much what your common sense and fundamental intuition tell you should happen. They tell it to you so strongly that no cognitive energy is required to figure it out. “Unexpected” and “Obvious” are not always inversely correlated. However, where leftist ideology is an attempt to rewrite the laws of nature, “Unexpected” and “Obvious” will pretty much always diverge. This is currently happening in South African agriculture.
SA has plunged into a recession with a surprise 0.7% contraction in the second quarter of the year. “We are in recession. We reported a contraction in the first quarter even with revisions and now in the second quarter with a fall of 0.7%, we are in recession,” statistician-general Risenga Maluleke said in Pretoria on Tuesday. This is despite expectations from many economists that SA would narrowly miss a recession. The Bloomberg consensus was 0.6% growth.
There are several aspects of this situation that require leftists to find the decline in South Africa’s economic decline to be “unexpected.”
A lot of the people expecting the pony they were promised once Nelson Mandela underwent post-religious apotheosis were people who can’t feed or care for ponies, have only a basic idea of how they breed, and most importantly; have no land to stable them when not using them to virtue signal with their like-minded friends. “Unexpectedly” nobody voluntarily donated all the land and ponies that were required.
Then, there were the “unimaginable” problems involved when the pony-owners got all up in the legal system with their bourgeois property rights and rule of law rap. So the ANC bravely abolished outmoded moral concerns like “Thou Shalt Not Steal.” This was amended to read “Excepting cases where the ‘It’s Constitutional, B!tches!’ Clause applies.” Once the law had been amended, everyone should have been glad to fork over their land and all that it produces because Democracy.
The agricultural sector was the worst performer once again, falling 29.2% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted annualised, following a plunge in the first quarter of 2018, Investec said. Statistics SA said: “The decrease was mainly because of a drop in the production of field crops and horticultural products”.
At this point the “Obvious” stuff begins to kick in.
We can now commit some pretty basic mathematics and project the Time to Zimbabweification for South African Agriculture. Assuming a constant annual decline of 30% in the sector until enough idiots have died for nobody to bother anymore, we can generate an Unlearning Curve that follows below.
Here the Y-Axis represents the percentage of current productivity achieved by South African Agriculture. The X-Axis represents the years in the future. The Curve makes the generous assumption that the agricultural decline will work like an Andelohr Curve for lost learning rather than a declining exponential function. We can now get over things being “unexpected” and get down to the stuff that is righteously “obvious”.
They will have caused it; we the Amerikan Taxpayers will somehow be punished. Because it is increasingly “obvious” that we are about the only ones left with the foresight, means and ability to solve all the “unexpectedly” poor luck brought on by the delusions of retarded leftist ideologues.
In the meantime, everyone suffers. The people of South Africa will starve. The former pioneers of South Africa will be exterminated. Money that could have gone to great things — museums, symphonies, inventions, space exploration — will instead go toward fixing yet another plan that was obviously not going to work.
When in the fornication will we ever sack the hell up and tell these moochers NO in clear and unambiguous language? If not for our own protection, maybe for theirs, we can justify turning away from these feel-good activities that invariably and without exception end in tears.